Wikipedia trumps print media?

“Scientists have more faith in Wikipedia than national print media”

That’s one of the takeaways from a recent poll of nearly 1000 toxicologists when they were asked  how various media outlets cover their specialty: the representation to the public of chemical risks. (The poll was conducted by STATS, The Center for Health and Risk Communication at George Mason University, and the Society of Toxicology)

Given the common lament that Wikipedia shuns “experts,” and information is produced by people “off the street,” the results are intriguing when you look at the numbers for other professional and “mainstream” media outlets. From the report synopsis:

WebMD and Wikipedia were seen as significantly more accurate in the way they presented chemical risk than any other media source.

·         56% say WebMD accurately portrays chemical risks

·         45% say Wikipedia accurately portrays chemical risks

·         By contrast, no more than 15% say that leading national newspapers, news magazines, and television networks accurately portray chemical risks.

·         Over 80% say that leading national newspapers, news magazines, and television networks overstate chemical risks

[...]

…only 15 percent described similar coverage in the national print media (i.e., the New York Times, Washington Post, and Wall Street Journal) as accurate. This figure dropped to 6 percent for USA Today and 5 percent for broadcast network news.

At a press conference at the National Press Club to release the preliminary results of the study, Dr. S. Robert Lichter, who conducted the survey described the Wikipedia finding as an indictment of the mainstream media – ” it’s disturbing that someone off the street seemingly can do a better job than the media.”

I’d take issue with the fact that Wikipedia is simply the product of random person “off the street,” but it is a real shift in what we consider authority and how reliable information can be produced.

Even the best performer, WebMD, gained the approval of only about half the toxicologists who were surveyed which should be a bit surprising in itself. My (full disclosure: unpaid, uncompensated) commentary as it appeared in the report:

“This reminds me of the Nature study [link] that was done in December 2005 where it found that on average, Britannica had 3 errors per article, and Wikipedia had 4 errors,” Lih says by email. “It was surprising because Wikipedia did much better than expected, given its foreign work process and Britannica did much worse. People had presumed a certain level of accuracy from Britannica’s reputation, and it was knocked down from that pedestal. To me the WebMD and Wikipedia results here are similar – they’re much closer than what one would expect. Wikipedia doing better, WebMD doing worse.”

But perhaps the most interesting part was not WebMD, but that the daily professional print media came up so short in the eyes of these experts. It seems to reinforce the old adage: “Journalists do a pretty good job of covering things, except for subjects in which you’re knowledgeable.”

The commentary for Columbia Journalism Review contributor Alissa Quart was insightful about why the MSM approach (reporting science as a storyteller for the masses) is perhaps systemically flawed:

“Journalists fall into storylines, because that’s how we write. There are three narratives, that we use, which can make us great but also get us into trouble – one narrative to please our editors, one to please our readers, and one which leans toward our sources, because we identify with them. WebMD and Wikipedia contributors are disconnected from most of those narratives – maybe they are trying to please certain readers, but they aren’t ‘the reader.’ Their model of knowledge doesn’t ask for stories, or sentiment or people.

This is a really good observation that meshed well with my views about the role of public relations and the dangerous media narrative driving scientific reporting. Quart and I arrived at the same conclusion.

In short, argument trumps aesthetics. Lih, an engineer by education, concurs. The clash of narratives “also says something about motivation, in that the mainstream press will be driven by reports, PR bring shoved at them, and also the market and the desire by editors (in a top-down manner) to demand reporters find a story in the latest research, even if in the greater context of the field, it doesn’t warrant so much attention. In that sense, Wikipedia’s motivations are different, in that the ‘crowd’ helps moderate and even dampen the type of ‘recentism’ that is so pervasive in news coverage.”

The overall summary can be found at the Stats.org site, or you can view the full PDF.

TALK: James Fallows on China’s Economy

TALK: China’s Manufacturing, Economy and Foreign Reserves
SPEAKER: James Fallows, The Atlantic and author of Postcards from Tomorrow Square

DATE: Saturday, May 16, 2009, 2pm to 5pm
LOCATION: Beijing, Renmin University, Room 509, Ming De Main Building, Entrance A1

Renowned author and commentator James Fallows of The Atlantic, in one of his final talks in China, will reprise some of his major themes on China’s economy and its future. Event sponsored by Renda School of Finance and Worldview Global Consulting. Talk will be in English with Chinese translation.

DIRECTIONS:

By taxi: Go to the West Gate of Renda (3rd Ring Rd to Suzhou Bridge exit, on Suzhou Dajie and you will see Renda looming in red brick on the right after 1 km).

Walk through the West Gate, take a left into the giant courtyard. You will see Entrance A 1 slightly to the left of center.  Take elevator to 6th floor and walk down one flight (Chinese conservation measure: no up service to first five floors).

Renmin Mingde Building

Renmin Mingde Building


View Larger Map

Kindle DX and Newspapers

Kindle 2 (photo by ShakataGaNai, CC-By-SA)

Kindle 2 (photo by ShakataGaNai, CC-By-SA)

Just one month after our household welcomed the beautifully designed Kindle 2 to supply the latest books while we live overseas, out comes the Kindle DX, the version that promises to provide 8.5″ x 11″ viewing pleasure, and has been put forth as possible savior for the college student and the newspaper industry (with the emphasis on “paper”).

The inevitable march towards electronic paper is exciting, as the screen on the Kindle is gorgeous when it comes to displaying static pages. However, I fear this may not be so much “digital papyrus” as it is “digital pyrite” — the new media version of fool’s gold. There’s several reasons why.

If you don’t own a Kindle, you may not know how s-l-o-w the screen is to refresh. We’re talking page-to-page times that take more than one full second. Because of the technology used, the process of turning the page means having to flip and invert all the pixels before presenting the next page, creating an X-ray-like flashing effect. This is not so bad for reading that crime novel serially as you spend 15-20 seconds per page. But for the browsing, searching and scanning mode one uses as a newspaper reader and college exam crammer, I’m afraid the lag time and flashing effect providing a rather jarring experience.

Second, interactivity has some ways to go on this device. It’s not Amazon’s fault per se, but we’re so used to iPhone’s touch screen experience that anything less than that feels like a handicap. The Kindle’s screen is not touch sensitive, so I often find myself having to slap my own hand away from interacting directly with the page. Instead, you’re stuck with a very “1.0″ four-way tiny joystick, that seems so yesteryear when you have something like Google Earth on iPhone that makes you feel like a demigod as you spin, rotate and fly around the globe while you slip and slide your two fingers on the glass.

By now you know the Kindle is a monochrome device. With Kindle 2′s paperback-sized screen, black-and-white only isn’t a liability. But as an alternative to college textbooks, the lack of color becomes problematic. Given that some of the most expensive books the Kindle might replace are biology, science and medical textbooks, the lack of color diagrams and illustrations reduces the prospects people will convert to the DX device. Add to this, the rumors that Apple is working on a iPad — a larger screen version of an iPod touch-like device — and suddenly Amazon’s device may look a generation behind as people will find a general computing device with a large color screen a better value.

Which brings us to the price. People have gasped at its $489 price tag for a dedicated-use, monochrome device that lacks even a decent Web browser. At that pricepoint, many decent sized netbooks are available that provide much more functionality and not much more bulk.

Will Amazon DX sell? Of course it will, it’s a sweet early adopter device that makes lots of folks drool. Leo Laporte of TWiT.tv said his 75-year old mom fell in love with the Kindle, and felt she could take up reading again because of the large adjustable font size. That’s a great Mother’s Day gift for her. And no doubt with its built-in networking with Whispernet, it will be a great device for end users who don’t like interacting with a PC.

Will Amazon DX sell in quantities that will make a difference to the textbook and newspaper market? I can’t see that happening with this model. The lack of color, the lack of extendibility and its failure to be a general purpose tool is a big drawback. Some will say that the Macintosh with a black and white screen changed everything back in 1984 when everything else was color. But the Mac had so many more paradigm shifts even with a lesser screen. The Kindle doesn’t do the same. It mimics paper and the most basic version of a printing press, in a beuatiful form factor. But that’s about it. It’s not a game changer, though it might just make the newspaper industry think there’s some overtime to be played.